Complexity Society Uncategorized

A look at the covid-19 – beyond plots, pie charts and histograms.

bikini

As the covid-19 farce continues, amidst the destruction of the economy, it is curious how the global social engineering experiment, which has confined millions of people to their homes, is perpetrated so successfully based only on simple plots, pie-charts and histograms.

Amazingly, nowhere in the mainstream media has the covid 19 data been analyzed from a holistic, structural perspective. Structure is understanding. Structure means knowledge. To understand the structure of a system means to know how it really works. Structure is ussually associated with getting the Big Picture. When one has a holistic expression of a problem, it delivers information that a fragmented puzzle of plots and charts is unable to provide. While structure provides an instrument of synthesis and understanding, fragmentation is what allows manipulation to flourish and politics and deceit to blossom.

An example of what we mean is illustrated below, where a Complexity Map is depicted.

top25_2404202

The map illustrates the structure of correlations between countries and has been synthesized for the top 25 countries (based on number of cases) using data reported here. The grey off-diagonal dots represent interdependencies between countries derived based on the reported numbers of cases, deaths, recovered patients, tests, etc. We will not perform an in-depth analysis of the map – which is a gold mine of information – but we do wish to point out the hubs: Spain, Sweden, the UK and the Netherlands. Hubs are important because they have a large footprint on the system as a whole. The density of the map is 56%, meaning that in this global hoax we are all on the same boat, while the resilience of the map’s structure is 99.5%, which indicates the situation is very stable, controllable and not capable of generating surprises.

As an example, we will show which countries are correlated with Israel, Switzerland and Iran.

Israel

IL

Switzerland

CH

Iran

IR

The analysis of these maps is beyond the scope of this short blog. It is clear, however, that they provide new insights and certainly raise a few questions. Oh, and by the way, Complexity Maps are computed using a novel generalized correlation technique, not some linear correlations or regressions.

So all the public is fed is dry tables and statistics. But statistics is like a bikini – it shows something interesting but hides the essential. Hiding what is essential makes it easy to manufacture conclusions a la carte.

 

 

 

“There are three types of lies — lies, damn lies, and statistics.”
― Benjamin Disraeli

“If your experiment needs a statistician, you need a better experiment.”
― Ernest Rutherford

“99 percent of all statistics only tell 49 percent of the story.”
― Ron DeLegge II

“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination”
― Andrew Lang

“Regression analysis is the hydrogen bomb of the statistics arsenal.”
― Charles Wheelan

 

 

Established originally in 2005 in the USA, Ontonix is a technology company headquartered in Como, Italy. The unusual technology and solutions developed by Ontonix focus on countering what most threatens safety, advanced products, critical infrastructures, or IT network security - the rapid growth of complexity. In 2007 the company received recognition by being selected as Gartner's Cool Vendor. What makes Ontonix different from all those companies and research centers who claim to manage complexity is that we have a complexity metric. This means that we MEASURE complexity. We detect anomalies in complex defense systems without using Machine Learning for one very good reason: our clients don’t have the luxury of multiple examples of failures necessary to teach software to recognize them. We identify anomalies without having seen them before. Sometimes, you must get it right the first and only time!

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