Complexity-Based Early-Warnings in Defaulting Companies

The search for early-warning signs is one of the key issues for decision makers. The advantages of knowing in advance the evolution towards critical situations are obvious. Complexity is a new and powerful indicator that quantifies the degree of sophistication and governability of a business and which impacts its Resistance to Shocks[1] (RtS). Both complexity…

Complexity of Car Electronics: Testing and Reliability

In an interesting article entitled Reliability Paradox for Worldwide Automotive Electronics and published in: 2017 Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), one may read: “Automotive Electronics is growing ever since the technological advancement has brought about a revolution in the Automotive Semiconductor and Telematics industry, especially in the past decade. Utilization of microelectronics and hence circuits’…

QCM – What it is NOT

Quantitative Complexity Management (QCM) technology has been around since 2005. It is a very unusual piece of technology and offers a radically innovative approach to dealing with data, anomalies and risk. As it happens with innovative technologies, they are often years ahead of mainstream thought, sometimes even ahead of predominant and accepted philosophies. And herein…

Early Warnings of Systemic Collapses – Epileptic Seizure

From: https://www.kaggle.com/c/seizure-detection “Of the more than two million Americans who suffer from recurrent, spontaneous epileptic seizures, 500,000 continue to experience seizures despite multiple attempts to control the seizures with medication. For these patients responsive neurostimulation represents a possible therapy capable of aborting seizures before they affect a patient’s normal activities. In order for a responsive…

Major Stock Markets: Is A Crash Imminent?

Over the past few months stock markets have been registering very positive performance. Some analysts claim the markets are in a bubble condition. Bubbles can emerge from cognitive biases, herd behaviour and involve positive feedback loops which accelerate bubble growth. The S&P, for example, has tripled since its low in 2009. Since the 1990s, the…

Building a “Complexity Management Device”

  Arduino is an open-source electronics platform based on easy-to-use hardware and software. It’s intended for anyone making interactive projects, see TED video. Arduino boards (see list here) come in numerous types and may be connected to a wide variety of inputs (sensors, devices) and outputs (actuators, devices, computers). For example, the Arduino Fio boardis…

Is a Huge Stock Market Crash Imminent?

Blog written on January 12-th, 2015. In a recent article “Why The Next Stock Market Crash Will Happen Any Day Now”  it is claimed that a massive stock market crash (down by 50%) will happen any day now. Based on past crash patterns it is said that we are on the verge of another huge…