On Theories, Complexity and Decision Making

In highly complex contexts, or when one runs out of arguments in a debate, it is customary to resort to elaborate conspiratory theories. Theories are constructed based on a set of data points. When many data points are available, one can construct many theories. The problem is that all these theories will agree in the…

Complexity Maps of Railway Operations

QCM technology allows to make very quick risk and resilience assessments of all sorts of systems of processes. All it takes is data. Data may be sampled over time, space or frequency. Consider, for example, the following monthly data (only a small portion is shown) of failure counts of a railway operation. The data simply…

Increasing Cybersecurity. Locally.

A recent blog by CISCO speaks of how QCM – Quantitative Complexity Management – is used in anomaly detection in highly complex systems and contexts. In particular, it speaks of QCM as being able to detect the existence of an anomaly without having seen it before. Such capability goes beyond Machine Learning in that QCM…

QCM – What it is NOT

Quantitative Complexity Management (QCM) technology has been around since 2005. It is a very unusual piece of technology and offers a radically innovative approach to dealing with data, anomalies and risk. As it happens with innovative technologies, they are often years ahead of mainstream thought, sometimes even ahead of predominant and accepted philosophies. And herein…

Which 21-st Century Technology is the Most Dangerous?

Which technology is the most dangerous? Which technology is most feared? Is it Artificial Intelligence? Is it nanotechnology? Genetic manipulation? Nuclear energy? Maybe superconductivity? Or robotics? No, it is none of these. The most dangerous technology of the 21-st century is indubitably QCM – Quantitative Complexity Management. The QCM has been established in the early…

Is it Progress if a Cannibal Uses Knife and Fork?

The North American XB-70 Valkyrie was a (beautiful!) tri-sonic bomber developed in the early sixties. It was, even by today’s standards, an exceptionally sophisticated and advanced machine. What strikes is the short time it took to develop and build – we intentionally omit the information here since, by today’s standards it would make many people…