April 28, 2020 Fitch cuts the rating of Italy from ‘BBB’ (April 21, 2017) to ‘BBB-‘ with stable outlook. The downgrade, the agency points out, “reflects the significant impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the Italian economy”. According to Fitch, in 2020, Italy’s GDP should record a drop 8% with a debt / GDP ratio…
Citing Wikipedia: “An advantage of terrain occurs when military personnel gain an advantage over an enemy utilizing, or simply in spite of, the terrain around them. The term does not exclusively apply to battles, and can be used more generally regarding entire campaigns or theaters of war. Mountains, for example, can block off certain areas, making it unnecessary to station troops within the…
The covid-19 has accentuated the fragmentation of the European Union. In a moment of political fragility we have performed a resilience rating analysis of the union as a whole as well as of the individual countries and specific macro regions. The idea is to perform a preliminary and simple assessment of how each country could…
As the covid-19 farce continues, amidst the destruction of the economy, it is curious how the global social engineering experiment, which has confined millions of people to their homes, is perpetrated so successfully based only on simple plots, pie-charts and histograms. Amazingly, nowhere in the mainstream media has the covid 19 data been analyzed from…
Over a year ago we published an article showing how complexity can anticipate epileptic seizures. Since then our R&D has produced new complexity metrics. One such metric, designated as Cn3, has been applied recently to the same eplieptic seizure problem in the cited blog, as well as to earthquake data. Conventional complexity anticipates seizure, as…
20-th April, 2020 At the time of writing, the number of deaths that have been attributed (yes, attributed or related to) to the covid 19 virus in Italy is 23660. The ISS – National Health Institute – states that more than 99% of the deceased had already some, often serious, chronic disease. This means that…
From a Hill’s article: “… counterfeit electronics that threaten the reliability of military hardware and our critical infrastructure for telecommunications, energy and transportation. A study by the Senate Armed Services Committee found more than 1,800 cases of suspected counterfeits in advanced missile systems, helicopters, submarines and more. Because our company provides counterfeit detection services and…
March 27-th, 2020. The coronavirus has been with us for a few weeks now. The amount of information, speculation, fake news, statistics, extrapolations and more or less credible and sinister and conspiratory theories, is overwhelming. It is easy to have an impression, it is more difficult to have an opinion. It is very easy to…
Just to put things in perspective: “Overall, the CDC estimates that 12,000 and 61,000 deaths annually since 2010 can be blamed on the flu. Globally, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that the flu kills 290,000 to 650,000 people per year.” Read full article. The dispersion, 290,000 to 650,000 is significant. We have run…
In the era of globalized and interconnected economy, it is becoming clear that all corporations, banks and countries form part of a huge system of systems. As turbulence increases and the possibility of shocks and extreme events rises, the importance of a systems perspective of the economy becomes evident. In fact, due to turbulence, and…
