As the patents on many drugs, which have been launched in the 1990s, will soon expire, the pharmaceutical industry finds itself at a turning point in its evolution, particularly as far as research and development are concerned. As the pipelines of new products are shrinking, the exposure of many companies is increasing. This will surely…
Over a year ago we published an article showing how complexity can anticipate epileptic seizures. Since then our R&D has produced new complexity metrics. One such metric, designated as Cn3, has been applied recently to the same eplieptic seizure problem in the cited blog, as well as to earthquake data. Conventional complexity anticipates seizure, as…
March 27-th, 2020. The coronavirus has been with us for a few weeks now. The amount of information, speculation, fake news, statistics, extrapolations and more or less credible and sinister and conspiratory theories, is overwhelming. It is easy to have an impression, it is more difficult to have an opinion. It is very easy to…
Just to put things in perspective: “Overall, the CDC estimates that 12,000 and 61,000 deaths annually since 2010 can be blamed on the flu. Globally, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that the flu kills 290,000 to 650,000 people per year.” Read full article. The dispersion, 290,000 to 650,000 is significant. We have run…
Before you start to solve a problem (a numerical problem) you should check its conditioning. An ill-conditioned problem will produce very fragile and unreliable results – no matter how elegant and sophisticated solution you come up with it will be vulnerable. If decisions or strategies are based on fragile outcomes, those decisions and strategies will…
Which technology is the most dangerous? Which technology is most feared? Is it Artificial Intelligence? Is it nanotechnology? Genetic manipulation? Nuclear energy? Maybe superconductivity? Or robotics? No, it is none of these. The most dangerous technology of the 21-st century is indubitably QCM – Quantitative Complexity Management. The QCM has been established in the early…
From: https://www.kaggle.com/c/seizure-detection “Of the more than two million Americans who suffer from recurrent, spontaneous epileptic seizures, 500,000 continue to experience seizures despite multiple attempts to control the seizures with medication. For these patients responsive neurostimulation represents a possible therapy capable of aborting seizures before they affect a patient’s normal activities. In order for a responsive…
The human genome contains 20000-25000 genes (3 billion letters). The approximate number of atoms necessary to encode human DNA is 200 billion. For example, Thymine’s base is a pyrimidine ring compound and it contains 15 atoms. Its pentose sugar has 15 atoms also (the 5-carbon sugar used for ribonucleic acid (RNA) is very similar, but…
The two most important events of this year are the Brexit and the election of the President of the US. In the case of the Brexit, predictions were indicating a clear ‘yes’ while the result was a ‘no’. In the case of US elections, Clinton was going to win. Not only she lost, Trump won…
The economy is a dynamic system which is far too complex for us to understand. Human nature is extremely complex and billions of irrational humans form the economy. How can such a system ever be thought to be efficient, in equilibrium and stable, as many prominent economists have claimed? But this system, like every…
