Is a Global Post-Critical Society Possible?

  Every dynamical system possesses a characteristic value of complexity which reflects how information is organized and how it flows within its structure. Like most things in life, complexity is limited. In fact, there is an upper bound on complexity that a given system may attain and sustain with a given structure. This ‘physiological’ limit…

Will Global Trade Recover Anytime Soon?

In a 2015 United Nations Trade and Development Conference  report  “Trade Slowdown” one reads: ‘As of 2014 the trends in international trade were largely driven by the sluggish economic growth and the persisting economic and political turmoil in various part of the world. From 2011 to 2014 world trade grew at a rate of less…

Brexit: the Most Likely Future Scenario

The laws of systemantics apply to highly complex systems and situations. As you read these laws think of the EU and of the recently celebrated Brexit.   Le Chatelier’s Principle: Complex systems tend to oppose their own proper function. As systems grow in complexity, they tend to oppose their stated function. A complex system cannot be…

Index Complexity – Science Confirms Intuition

Which of these US market indices is the most complex: DJI, NASDAQ or the S&P? Surely, it is the NASDAQ because it is full of tech stocks. The DJI, being based on what we would call the real economy, is quite the opposite, more suited for investors who are less risk-hungry. The S&P clearly lies somewhere in the…