Is It Possible To Make Predictions?
Prediction of the future has always been man’s dream. However, there is an overwhelming amount of physical evidence that thisContinue Reading
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Prediction of the future has always been man’s dream. However, there is an overwhelming amount of physical evidence that thisContinue Reading
Before you start to solve a problem (a numerical problem) you should check its conditioning. An ill-conditioned problem will produceContinue Reading
Isn’t it time to review our theories on economics, to see them in a radically different light? What lessons areContinue Reading
Ludwig Wittgenstein sustained that “what cannot be debated should not be debated”. We say that what cannot be modeled shouldContinue Reading
For someone who has been doing simulation for the last 30 years it is not easy to say no. LargeContinue Reading
The economy is a dynamic system which is far too complex for us to understand. Human nature is extremely complexContinue Reading
In January 2011 The Financial Crisis Inquiry Committee claimed that “The three credit rating agencies were key enablers of theContinue Reading
“.. the effective management of risk is one of the core strengths that has made Lehman Brothers so successful”Continue Reading
The current economic crisis indicates that conventional risk assessment, rating and management techniques don’t perform well in a turbulent andContinue Reading
IBM has recently announced a new “way to program computers” – the so-called “cognitive computing” – see here –Continue Reading









