How Complexity Anticipates Black Swans – the 2020 Market Crash
From Wikipedia: The 2020 stock market crash was a global stock market crash that began on 20 February 2020. OnContinue Reading
Category: Economics
Making Predictions Based on Murphy’s Laws
The origin of the well known Murphy’s Laws may be traced to Edwards Air Force Base in 1949. A fewContinue Reading
The Sovereign Debt Iceberg
The irrational covid-19-induced destruction of our economy has exacerbated the north-south divisions in Europe and sparked debates on issues suchContinue Reading
Are Fitch Downgrades of Italy’s Rating Reliable?
April 28, 2020 Fitch cuts the rating of Italy from ‘BBB’ (April 21, 2017) to ‘BBB-‘ with stable outlook. TheContinue Reading
The European Union: Too Big to Fail or Too Fragile to Survive?
The covid-19 has accentuated the fragmentation of the European Union. In a moment of political fragility we have performed aContinue Reading
The Covid-19 – Never waste a Good Crisis, Part II.
20-th April, 2020 At the time of writing, the number of deaths that have been attributed (yes, attributed or relatedContinue Reading
The Resilience Rating of Easter Island
Easter Island (Chilean territory), is a remote volcanic island in Polynesia. Its native name is Rapa Nui. It’s famed forContinue Reading
Systemic Risks and Large-Scale Complexity Analysis of Supply Chains
In the era of globalized and interconnected economy, it is becoming clear that all corporations, banks and countries form partContinue Reading
Simplifying a Business is … Like Alchemy
Trying to simplify a business without being able to measure its complexity (simplicity) is like a doctor who proposes aContinue Reading
Reinventing Anti-Money Laundering with Complexity
Beyond Madoff: Anti-Money Laundering with Quantitative Complexity Management. By JB Beckett, Author of ‘New Fund Order’. Foreword by Jacek Marczyk.Continue Reading
Artificial Intuition 