The Resilience Rating of Easter Island

Easter Island (Chilean territory), is a remote volcanic island in Polynesia. Its native name is Rapa Nui. It’s famed for archaeological sites, including nearly 900 monumental statues called moai, created by inhabitants during the 13th–16th centuries. The moai are carved human figures with oversize heads, often resting on massive stone pedestals called ahus. Ahu Tongariki…

Simplifying a Business is … Like Alchemy

Trying to simplify a business without being able to measure its complexity (simplicity) is like a doctor who proposes a weight loss diet but has no means of measuring the weight of his patients. If one has no complexity metric then we’re talking of subjective opinions, sensations, feelings, certainly not science. The silly images such…

Reinventing Anti-Money Laundering with Complexity

Beyond Madoff: Anti-Money Laundering with Quantitative Complexity Management. By JB Beckett, Author of ‘New Fund Order’. Foreword by Jacek Marczyk. Foreword: “Our society depends on a number of highly complex and highly interconnected networks that process and distribute energy, information, goods, etc. They form an immense system of systems that has one key characteristic –…

Complexity-Based Early-Warnings in Defaulting Companies

The search for early-warning signs is one of the key issues for decision makers. The advantages of knowing in advance the evolution towards critical situations are obvious. Complexity is a new and powerful indicator that quantifies the degree of sophistication and governability of a business and which impacts its Resistance to Shocks[1] (RtS). Both complexity…

Failed Doomsday, eco-pocalyptic predictions and Extreme Problems

Extreme Problems are very large-scale multi-disciplinary problems, involving thousands or millions of variables and which cannot be solved using conventional technology. In such situations, it is impossible to determine the cause of the problem not only because of its sheer size but, most importantly, because it is frequently perceived through conventional eyes and distorted by…

Which 21-st Century Technology is the Most Dangerous?

Which technology is the most dangerous? Which technology is most feared? Is it Artificial Intelligence? Is it nanotechnology? Genetic manipulation? Nuclear energy? Maybe superconductivity? Or robotics? No, it is none of these. The most dangerous technology of the 21-st century is indubitably QCM – Quantitative Complexity Management. The QCM has been established in the early…