Conventional Ratings: Why The Abysmal Performance?
Why are ratings so unreliable? In a recent article which appeared on 19-th July, 2012 on Thomson Reuters News &Continue Reading
Category: Economics
Beyond Credit Rating Agencies: A New Post-Crisis Rating System
Avoiding the next financial crisis may not be easy but if there is one factor that may potentially contribute toContinue Reading
Beyond the concepts of Risk and Risk Management
The current economic crisis indicates that conventional risk assessment, rating and management techniques don’t perform well in a turbulent andContinue Reading
Is it Possible to Make Predictions?
Prediction of the future has always been man’s dream. However, there is an overwhelming amount of physical evidence that thisContinue Reading
Italy Beats Moody’s.
Moody’s is the largest of the three major rating agencies. It employs 7000 people worldwide and posted sales of 2.7Continue Reading
How Complex is the World? We’ve Measured It.
Using annual data from the World Bank, spanning the last 5 decades, we have computed the complexity of the WorldContinue Reading
The Principle of Fragility
The following equation, which we call the Principle of Fragility, has been coined by Ontonix in early 2005 and indicatesContinue Reading
The 18 Truths About Complexity
A paper copyrighted in 1998, called How Complex Systems Fail and written by an M.D., Dr. Richard Cook, describes 18Continue Reading
Beyond Pre-Crisis Analytics
Conventional data mining technology has the objective of establishing patterns and rules from large amounts of data by combining suchContinue Reading
Complexity Profiling and Causality
A Complexity Profile is probably the most important result of a complexity analysis and it may be helpful when itContinue Reading
Artificial Intuition 