Index Complexity – Science Confirms Intuition
Which of these US market indices is the most complex: DJI, NASDAQ or the S&P? Surely, it is the NASDAQ because itContinue Reading
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Would Brexit Influence the Resilience of the EU?
The EU is a huge system of systems. In our previous blogs on the subject we have shown how the resilienceContinue Reading
Who Rates Ratings?
The economy is a dynamic system which is far too complex for us to understand. Human nature is extremelyContinue Reading
The Principle of Ignorance
The Principle of Ignorance is a ‘corollary’ of the Principle of Fragility, which states: Complexity X Uncertainty = Continue Reading
Optimum-Complexity Portfolios: How to Invest in Turbulent Times
Research confirms that high portfolio complexity impacts negatively mid and long-term expected returns. This is because high complexity is aContinue Reading
In a Storm Stay Away From Complex Stocks
In the past few weeks stock markets have been plummeting. There is talk of a perfect storm. On May 18-thContinue Reading
Italy – Pride and Prejudice
In the current economic situation, of falling stock markets, plummeting oil prices and sustained turbulence, the global investor mustContinue Reading
Why This Crisis Won’t Go Away (Soon)
Why do most theorems in maths start by saying “let f(x) be a continuous differentiable function…”? Why do so manyContinue Reading
Project Management: Why Cost Overruns and Late Delivery?
Why over 90% of projects finish late? There is plenty of literature on the subject. This is a good example.Continue Reading
Rating the Resilience of Major Markets, 31-st December, 2015
Resilience Ratings of major markets are reported in the table below. Analysis performed on 31/12/2015. The results are presented withoutContinue Reading
Artificial Intuition 