The Principle of Ignorance
The Principle of Ignorance is a ‘corollary’ of the Principle of Fragility, which states: Complexity X Uncertainty = Continue Reading
Category: Complexity
Optimum-Complexity Portfolios: How to Invest in Turbulent Times
Research confirms that high portfolio complexity impacts negatively mid and long-term expected returns. This is because high complexity is aContinue Reading
In a Storm Stay Away From Complex Stocks
In the past few weeks stock markets have been plummeting. There is talk of a perfect storm. On May 18-thContinue Reading
Italy – Pride and Prejudice
In the current economic situation, of falling stock markets, plummeting oil prices and sustained turbulence, the global investor mustContinue Reading
Why This Crisis Won’t Go Away (Soon)
Why do most theorems in maths start by saying “let f(x) be a continuous differentiable function…”? Why do so manyContinue Reading
Project Management: Why Cost Overruns and Late Delivery?
Why over 90% of projects finish late? There is plenty of literature on the subject. This is a good example.Continue Reading
Rating the Resilience of Major Markets, 31-st December, 2015
Resilience Ratings of major markets are reported in the table below. Analysis performed on 31/12/2015. The results are presented withoutContinue Reading
How Sustainable is the World as a System?
Corporate sustainability, social responsibility and sustainability in general are trendy subjects nowadays. There exist numerous programmes, institutes and research centersContinue Reading
Deutsche Bank – Too Big To Fail or Too Complex To Survive?
Complexity and interdependency are the hallmarks of our time. The increase of complexity and turbulence in the markets andContinue Reading
Sustainability and the Dramatic Importance of Systemic Analysis
You only appreciate the importance of systemic analysis once you see the kind of new knowledge it delivers. There isContinue Reading
